Prediksi Harga Saham Tata Motors Hari Ini: Breakout atau Koreksi? Simak Analis!

 Prediksi Harga Saham Tata Motors Hari Ini: Breakout atau Koreksi? Simak Analis!

1. Recent Performance & Key Catalysts

Stock Price (as of last close): Check live platforms like NSE India or Moneycontrol for today’s price.

Recent Drivers:

JLR (Jaguar Land Rover) Performance: Tata Motors derives ~60% of revenue from JLR. Monitor quarterly sales, EV adoption (e.g., Range Rover EV), and supply chain updates.

Domestic Demand: Strong commercial vehicle (CV) and passenger vehicle (PV) sales in India (e.g., Nexon, Punch EVs).

Debt Reduction: Tata Motors has focused on cutting net automotive debt (reduced to ~₹29,000 crore in FY24 vs. ₹43,700 crore in FY23).

2. Fundamental Analysis

Q1 FY25 (April–June 2024) Highlights (if reported):

Revenue growth (YoY/QoQ).

Margins: Improvement in EBITDA margins due to cost-cutting and JLR premiumization.

EV Push: Tata leads India’s EV market (~70% share) with models like Nexon EV and upcoming Curvv.

Valuation:

P/E Ratio: Check if it’s trading above/below historical averages (industry P/E ~30x).

Debt-to-Equity: Improved but still elevated (~1.5x as of FY24).

3. Technical Analysis (Short-Term)

Trend:

Support: Key levels like ₹950–980 (200-day moving average).

Resistance: ₹1,050–1,100 (recent highs).

Indicators:

RSI (14-day): Above 70 = overbought; below 30 = oversold.

Volume: Surges on news (e.g., JLR updates, EV policy changes).

4. Key Risks

Global Slowdown: JLR sales depend on Europe/China demand.

Competition: Mahindra, Maruti Suzuki, and foreign EV makers (e.g., Tesla’s India entry plans).

Commodity Prices: Steel, aluminum, and semiconductor costs.

Debt: High leverage despite recent improvements.

5. Institutional Sentiment

FII/DII Holdings: Check latest shareholding pattern for institutional confidence.

Brokerage Reports: Firms like Morgan Stanley, CLSA, or ICICI Securities often update ratings (e.g., "Buy," "Hold").

6. Today’s Focus

Pre-Market Signals: Check SGX Nifty, global auto stocks (e.g., Tesla, Ford), and Tata Motors’ ADR (TTM) for cues.

News: Monitor updates on:

JLR sales or EV launches.